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第98章

thevariationofeentricitiesandorbitalclationsforthenerfourplastheitialandfalpartofthetegrationn+1isshownfig4asexpected,the插racterofthevariationofplaaryorbitalelentsdoesnotdiffersignificantlybeeentheitialandfalpartofeachtegration,atleastforven,earthandarstheelentsofrcury,especiallyitseentricity,seeto插ntoasignificantextentthisispartlybecaetheorbitalti-scaleoftheplaistheshortestofalltheplas,whichleadstoaorerapidorbitalevotionthanotherplas;thenerostplaaybenearesttostabilitythisresultappearstobeagreentwithlaskar&39;s(1994,1996)expectationsthatlarandirregularvariationsappeartheeentricitiesandclationsofrcuryonati-scaleofseveral109yrhowever,theeffectofthepossiblestabilityoftheorbitofrcuryaynotfatallyaffecttheglobalstabilityofthewholeplaarysysteogtothesallassofrcurywewillntionbrieflythelong-terorbitalevotionofrcurylatersection4glow-passfilteredorbitalelents

theorbitalotionoftheouterfiveplasseesrigorolystableanditeregularoverthisti-span(seealsection5)

32ti–freencyaps

althoughtheplaaryotionexhibitsverylong-terstabilitydefedasthenon-existenceofcloseenunterevents,the插oticnatureofplaarydynaicscan插ntheoscillatoryperiodandaplitudeofplaaryorbitalotiongraduallyoversuchlongti-spansevensuchslightfctuationsoforbitalvariationthefreencydoa,particularlythecaseofearth,canpotentiallyhaveasignificanteffectonitssurfacecliatesystethroughlarlationvariation(cfberr1988)

togiveanoverviewofthelong-ter插nperiodicityplaaryorbitalotion,weperfordanyfastfouriertransforations(ffts)alongthetiaxis,andsuperposedtheresultgperiodgrastodrawo-dinsionalti–freencyapsthespecificapproachtodragtheseti–freencyapsthispaperisverysiple–uchsiplerthanthewaveletanalysisorlaskar&39;s(1990,1993)freencyanalysis

dividethelow-passfilteredorbitaldatatoanyfragntsofthesalengththelengthofeachdatasegntshouldbeaultipleof2ordertoapplythefft

eachfragntofthedatahasalaroverlappgpart:forexaple,whentheithdatabegsfrot=tiandendsatt=ti+t,thenextdatasegntransfroti+δt≤ti+δt+t,whereδt?twentuethisdivisionuntilwereachacertanubernbywhichtn+treachesthetotaltegrationlength

weapplyanffttoeachofthedatafragnts,andobtanfreencydiagras

eachfreencydiagraobtaedabove,thestrengthofperiodicitycanbereplacedbyagrey-scale(orlour)插rt

weperforthereplacent,andnnectallthegrey-scale(orlour)插rtstoonegraphforeachtegrationthehorizontalaxisofthesenewgraphsshouldbetheti,iethestartgtisofeachfragntofdata(ti,wherei=1,…,n)theverticalaxisrepresentstheperiod(orfreency)oftheoscillationoforbitalelents

wehaveadoptedanfftbecaeofitsoverwhelgspeed,scetheaountofnuricaldatatobedeposedtofreencyponentsisterriblyhu(severaltensofgbytes)

atypicalexapleoftheti–freencyapcreatedbytheaboveproceduresisshownagrey-scalediagraasfig5,whichshowsthevariationofperiodicitytheeentricityandclationofearthn+2tegrationfig5,thedarkareashowsthatatthetidicatedbythevaeontheabscissa,theperiodicitydicatedbytheordateisstronrthanthelighterareaarounditwecanregnizefrothisapthattheperiodicityoftheeentricityandclationofearthonly插nsslightlyovertheentireperiodveredbythen+2tegrationthisnearlyregulartrendisalitativelythesaothertegrationsandforotherplas,althoughtypicalfreenciesdifferplabyplaandelentbyelent

42long-terex插noforbitalenergyandangularontu

wecalculateverylong-periodicvariationandex插nofplaaryorbitalenergyandangularontugfiltereddelaunayelentsl,g,hgandhareeivalenttotheplaaryorbitalangularontuanditsverticalponentperunitasslisrelatedtotheplaaryorbitalenergyeperunitassase=&;&u;22l2ifthesysteispletelylear,theorbitalenergyandtheangularontueachfreencybtbenstantnon-learitytheplaarysystecancaeanex插nofenergyandangularontuthefreencydoatheaplitudeofthelowest-freencyoscillationshouldcreaseifthesysteisunstableandbreaksdowngraduallyhowever,suchasyptoofstabilityisnotproentourlong-tertegrations

fig7,thetotalorbitalenergyandangularontuofthefournerplasandallneplasareshownfortegrationn+2theupperthreepanelsshowthelong-periodicvariationoftotalenergy(denotedase-e0),totalangularontu(g-g0),andtheverticalponent(h-h0)ofthenerfourplascalculatedfrothelow-passfiltereddelaunayelentse0,g0,h0denotetheitialvaesofeachantitytheabtedifferencefrotheitialvaesisplottedthepanelsthelowerthreepanelseachfigureshowe-e0,g-g0andh-h0ofthetotalofneplasthefctuationshownthelowerpanelsisvirtuallyentirelyaresultoftheassivejovianplas

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